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Dude: Nate Silver

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Dude: Nate Silver

Person who renders all pundits, talking heads, and self-proclaimed experts useless
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71%
NEEEEEEEEEEERDD!!!!
13
29%
 
Total votes : 45

Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Flaneur on Fri Oct 11, 2013 12:06 am

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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby jimmy two hands on Wed Mar 19, 2014 8:00 pm

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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby steve on Mon Mar 31, 2014 3:07 pm

Big fan here, I've been reading the new Fivethirtyeight blog readily, but I can't seem to see any of the comment threads, historically an important part of reading 538. I click on the "comments" link, nothing. Click on the "add a comment" link and nothing. I'm running Firefox with Adblock+, is anybody else having this problem?
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Tom on Mon Mar 31, 2014 4:06 pm

steve wrote:Big fan here, I've been reading the new Fivethirtyeight blog readily, but I can't seem to see any of the comment threads, historically an important part of reading 538. I click on the "comments" link, nothing. Click on the "add a comment" link and nothing. I'm running Firefox with Adblock+, is anybody else having this problem?



Nope. Just was reading them a minute ago. I use adblock and saw them fine, though I'm on chrome. It's a small link underneath the photo of the author at the very bottom of the article, to the left of the "add comment" text.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Chromodynamic on Mon Mar 31, 2014 4:59 pm

jimmy two hands wrote:gah!


This piece and his handling of the criticism may have fatally crippled my appreciation of him.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby steve on Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:51 pm

Tom wrote:Nope. Just was reading them a minute ago. I use adblock and saw them fine, though I'm on chrome. It's a small link underneath the photo of the author at the very bottom of the article, to the left of the "add comment" text.

When I click that I get nothing. Looks like it's trying to load something for a second, then nothing.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby cmay on Mon Mar 31, 2014 6:45 pm

Sounds like you have java turned off or disabled, possibly. Which is likely in the browser settings. The comments box is a dynamic dropdown window, which is what makes me suspect that's the case.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Antero on Mon Mar 31, 2014 9:25 pm

Man, Nate Silver's been really fucking up lately, at least in his choice of contributors.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby jimmy two hands on Tue Apr 01, 2014 10:14 am

Antero wrote:Man, Nate Silver's been really fucking up lately, at least in his choice of contributors.


Troof. The crazy thing is, as the article points out, he hired a guy who is bad at statistics to write an article on a statistics-based website. They've published a rebuttal, but they really should have reviewed the article before it was published.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Tom on Tue Apr 01, 2014 2:29 pm

Disagree.
The original article makes sense and the rebuttal seems to be arguing a subtly different point and doesn't really contradict, though I'll admit that some of the jargon was over my head. (Which, incidentally is a big problem with the rebuttal. You have one article that a layman can read easily and one that is difficult for a layman to read. The rebuttal needed a review much more than the OP).

People are getting all nutso that Pielke is a climate change denier and all sorts of bonkers conjecture.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby steve on Tue Apr 01, 2014 5:12 pm

cmay wrote:Sounds like you have java turned off or disabled, possibly. Which is likely in the browser settings. The comments box is a dynamic dropdown window, which is what makes me suspect that's the case.

Have "always turn on" instruction for the Java add-on. No idea what's up but the site is pretty dull without the comments.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby cmay on Tue Apr 01, 2014 8:30 pm

Ah, looks like comments are using the Facebook Social Plugin in an iFrame (whatever that is). Not sure if having a facebook account is required to see comments. Wouldn't make much sense if that's the case, but it is facebook.

I'd try a different browser. Chrome seems pretty capable with weird plugins like this. I'm using chrome with adblock and I see it fine after clicking the word Comments next to 'Add a comment'.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Andrew. on Mon May 09, 2016 11:53 am

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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Tom on Mon May 09, 2016 12:29 pm

Yeah, all the old dog pundit soothsayers have been waiting for an opportunity like this to bury him. He's made them largely irreverent since 08 (I keep thinking about that scene in Moneyball with the old scouts furiously walking out).

His Trump forecast fell out of odds, but this whole primary has been a fucking outlier. 538 got a little too aggressive in using their analysis to try to explain the Trump phenomena as a big picture, but with the exception of the MI dem primary, their state by state forecasts have been dead on.

People will use this as a counterweight to say "Well Silver was wrong about Trump, maybe he's wrong about ____ to" when their candidate is losing, but in the end he's still going to be the go to for polling analysis because he's really good.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby NewDarkAge on Mon May 09, 2016 12:32 pm

Kriss' thing is brilliant.

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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby NewDarkAge on Mon May 09, 2016 1:52 pm

He's a Beckett dude. I think he's at the University of Sussex.
bishopdante wrote:BTW was not suggesting that my particular area of interest is buttocks, but it is normal for people of all sexes and sexual persuasions to be into butts, is not weird.


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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby pldms on Mon May 09, 2016 2:06 pm

Andrew. wrote:https://samkriss.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/on-the-stupidity-of-nate-silver/

Oh dear, not Sam Kriss. He's Mary Midgley for the Vice generation.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Jen on Mon May 09, 2016 2:58 pm

smud wrote:


This guy, whoever he is, is fucking awesome. I have so much due this week and here I am, laughing my ass off at this blog instead. Who is he?

This quote is outstanding:

"Neil deGrasse Tyson is, supposedly, an educator and a populariser of science; it’s his job to excite people about the mysteries of the universe, communicate information, and correct popular misconceptions. This is a noble, arduous, and thankless job, which might be why he doesn’t do it."


I stayed home from a political meeting tonight because I have so much shit to do, and instead I just spent an indeterminate amount of time reading this guy's archives. The article on quitting Twitter is fucking brilliant.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Wood Goblin on Mon May 09, 2016 3:02 pm

Tell you what: you guys follow "Carl Diggler's" predictions, and I'll follow Silver's. We'll settle our accounts in, say, ten years.
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Re: Dude: Nate Silver

Postby Yngwie Einstein on Mon May 09, 2016 3:06 pm

Andrew. wrote:https://samkriss.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/on-the-stupidity-of-nate-silver/


That piece reminded me of this.
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